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Manifold Markets is a prediction market platform that allows users to create and trade on forecasts about future events. It uses play money and social incentives to aggregate collective intelligence and generate probabilistic predictions on various topics.
Chat with AI and run tools instantly.
Domain knowledge for Manifold Markets — workflow patterns, data models, and gotchas for your AI agent.
Manifold Markets is a prediction market platform where users create and trade on forecasts about future events using play money. This service provides read-only access to market data, user information, and betting activity to help analyze collective intelligence and probabilistic predictions.
Market Intelligence: Search and explore prediction markets with filtering options. Retrieve detailed market information including current probabilities, trading volume, resolution criteria, and market metadata.
User Analysis: Look up user profiles by username to understand trader activity, market creation history, and participation patterns across the platform.
Betting Data: Access detailed betting information from specific markets or users. Filter bets by various criteria to analyze trading patterns, market dynamics, and user behavior over time.
Discovery: Search for users by username or display name to find specific traders or explore the community.
Markets represent forecasting questions with probability-based pricing. Users create markets, place bets, and earn points through accurate predictions. Bets reflect confidence levels in outcomes and drive price discovery through collective trading activity.
Markets use play money (Manifold dollars) but generate real predictive value through social incentives. Resolution mechanisms ensure markets close with definitive outcomes. The platform covers diverse topics from politics to technology to personal challenges.
This server uses the MCP protocol with a live tool list. Tools are discovered when your MCP client connects (often after authentication), so they are not enumerated on this public page. Open Studio or connect from your client to see the tools available to your workspace.
Manifold Markets is a prediction market platform that allows users to create and trade on forecasts about future events. It uses play money and social incentives to aggregate collective intelligence and generate probabilistic predictions on various topics. It provides MCP tools that your client discovers when it connects (this page may not list every tool name) that AI agents can use through the Model Context Protocol (MCP).
Add the MCPBundles server URL to your MCP client configuration (Claude Desktop, Cursor, VS Code, etc.). The URL format is: https://mcp.mcpbundles.com/bundle/manifold-markets-mcp. Authentication is handled automatically.
Manifold Markets is a remote MCP server. The live tool list is supplied by the server when your MCP client connects, so the count is not fixed on this public page. After you connect in MCPBundles Studio or your client, you will see the tools your session can call. A SKILL.md is still included to guide your agent on capabilities and workflows.
Manifold Markets uses open data APIs — no authentication required.
Connect Manifold Markets to any MCP client in minutes
https://mcp.mcpbundles.com/bundle/manifold-markets-mcpThe link prefills the Add custom connector dialog — you still review the values and click Add, then Connect to complete OAuth.
Manifold Markets and paste the MCP URL into Remote MCP server URL.Custom connectors at claude.ai require a paid Claude plan (Pro, Max, Team, or Enterprise).
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Operate Manifold Markets? You can take over the listing's metadata.
Take over this listing's metadata — name, description, category, logo, website, contact email, and skill content. Verification is a 6-digit code we email to one of the maintainer addresses your server already publishes in /.well-known/security.txt or /.well-known/mcpbundles.json. Free, takes about a minute.